Impact of a Foot and Mouth Disease Outbreak on Australia
Research report
Impact of a Foot and Mouth Disease Outbreak on Australia was released on 12 June 2002. The report assesses the economic, social and environmental impacts of a range of hypothetical FMD outbreak scenarios on the agricultural sector, rural and regional Australia, and the national economy. It also assesses how those potential impacts would change if a vaccination policy were in place, or FMD-free geographic zones were established. The report has drawn on information contained in previous studies of the possible impact of FMD on Australia, the impacts of FMD outbreaks on other countries, and wide ranging consultations with government agencies, industry associations and academics. Also see:
- Impact of a Foot and Mouth Disease Outbreak, media release issued with the research report
- Foot and Mouth Disease Outbreak study information
CONTENTS
Preliminaries
Cover, Copyright, Foreword, Contents, Abbreviations and explanations, Glossary, Terms of reference, Key Messages
Overview
Control and eradication costs
Costs of trade restrictions
Estimates of the economic impacts
Social Impacts
Environmental impacts
1 Introduction
1.1 The project
1.2 The Commission's approach
1.3 Interpreting the Commission's results
1.4 Structure of the report
2 FMD and its management
2.1 Epidemiology of FMD
2.2 The global pattern of FMD
2.3 Control and eradication strategy
3 Outbreak scenarios and control costs
3.1 Background
3.2 Small outbreak - scenario 1
3.3 Medium-sized outbreak - scenario 2
3.4 Large outbreak - scenario 3
3.5 Modelling results
3.6 Costs of eradication, control and compensation
3.7 Impact of vaccination
4 Trade impacts of foot and mouth disease
4.1 Why do export markets close?
4.2 Which products are affected by trade bans?
4.3 Effects of market closures
4.4 Modelling assumptions
4.5 Zoning
5 Other economic effects
5.1 Impact on livestock production
5.2 Domestic consumer reponses
5.3 Impacts on other industries
6 Quantifying the economic impacts
6.1 Direct impacts of an FMD outbreak
6.2 Indirect and economywide impacts
6.3 Estimating the impact of zoning
6.4 Estimating the impact of vaccination
6.5 Sensitivity analysis
7 Regional and farm impacts
7.1 Regions most affected
7.2 The ability of regions to cope with an outbreak
7.3 Farm level impacts
8 Social impacts
8.1 Lower livestock prices and FMD control measures
8.2 Factors influencing individual responses and mental health effects
9 Environmental impacts
9.1 Carcass disposal
9.2 Other impacts
A Conduct of the research paper
Meeting with individuals and organisations
A.1 Report of the referee
B Description of previous disease outbreaks
B.1 Ovine Johne's disease in south-east Australia
B.2 Newcastle disease in the MAngrove Mountain area, NSW
B.3 Foot and mouth disease in the UK
B.4 Anthrax outbreak in Victoria
C Revenue losses to the livestock inductries for each outbreak scenario
D Regional and farm analysis
E Economic welfare effects on consumers and producers
E.1 The welfare changes due to an FMD outbreak
E.2 Net welfare effect of an FMD outbreak
References
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